Day 3 - 6/1/2024 Garden City KS to Hays KS
Wit the recent update from the SPC, they are calling for a 2% chance of tornadoes from western NE and KS, and eastern CO. Also, a 15% chance of significant hail in northwest KS. Significant hail is larger than 2 inches. Plus, a 15% chance of significant wind in southwest KS.
Looking at the current CAMS(convective allowing models), not much agreement on timing and location.
However, there are several shortwaves moving through the mid-level flow that might create enough lift to get storms going. The dewpoints will be in low to mid 60's. There is enough CAPE of 2500 to 3000 joules per kilogram.
The dynamics are in place its just see if everything can come together.
Will be waiting to see the next SPC update in about 3 hours. Will be checking models again when I stop for lunch.
Looking at the current CAMS(convective allowing models), not much agreement on timing and location.
However, there are several shortwaves moving through the mid-level flow that might create enough lift to get storms going. The dewpoints will be in low to mid 60's. There is enough CAPE of 2500 to 3000 joules per kilogram.
The dynamics are in place its just see if everything can come together.
Will be waiting to see the next SPC update in about 3 hours. Will be checking models again when I stop for lunch.
Trackbacks
No Trackbacks
Comments
Display comments as Linear | Threaded